Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 15:00
11.5361.7%
X4.0923.1%
26.2215.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
WLLWDWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Burnley
LLLDLDLWDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.90
Against
6.30
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.60goals per match
Burnley conceded2.00
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.00goals per match
Fulham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.30
10.90
Match total
10.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
18.30
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.00
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches459
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.7%62.7%+1.0 pp
Draw23.1%22.0%-1.1 pp
Away15.2%15.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

2.060.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.3%
1-111.1%
1-010.5%
2-19.2%
3-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.62
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=459.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%40.1%–59.9% CI
Draw FT35.1%26.2%–45.2% CI
Away FT14.9%9.1%–23.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.9%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.1%
Away41.5%