Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 12:30
13.0231.1%
X3.5526.5%
22.2242.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WLDDWDDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Liverpool
LWDWDDLWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.40
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.40goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
10.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.00
Match total
21.00

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches461
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%31.2%+0.1 pp
Draw26.5%28.6%+2.1 pp
Away42.4%40.1%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.311.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.8%
2-28.7%
2-18.7%
0-17.4%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.864.97
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=460.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.0%20.0%–35.5% CI
Draw FT41.0%32.7%–49.9% CI
Away FT32.0%24.4%–40.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.4%
Away54.9%