Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 12:30
13.0231.1%
X3.5526.5%
22.2242.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
WLDDWDDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Liverpool
LWDWDDLWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
1.20goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.40Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.40goals per matchBrighton conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.00
Match total
21.00
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches461
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%31.2%+0.1 pp
Draw26.5%28.6%+2.1 pp
Away42.4%40.1%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS57.9%
Historical average
1.31–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.8%
2-28.7%
2-18.7%
0-17.4%
1-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.86–4.97
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=460.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.528.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.0%20.0%–35.5% CI
Draw FT41.0%32.7%–49.9% CI
Away FT32.0%24.4%–40.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals18.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.4%
Away54.9%