Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 20:00
13.2229.3%
X3.7625.1%
22.0745.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DLDDLWWDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Man United
DWWLDDWDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.40
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Man United conceded1.40
Matchup

Man United attack

1.80goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
22.20
Match total
21.90

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.50
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.3%26.2%-3.2 pp
Draw25.1%29.2%+4.1 pp
Away45.6%44.6%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.543.1%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

1.451.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-213.8%
1-210.8%
1-110.8%
2-19.2%
0-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.78
Average total10.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.553.1%
Over 11.540.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.3%11.8%–40.9% CI
Draw FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI
Away FT46.7%30.2%–63.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals63.3%
3+ goals23.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away60.0%