Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 16:30
11.2973.0%
X5.7916.3%
28.7210.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Liverpool
WLDWWDDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Tottenham
WLDLWDLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
10.60
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.80goals per matchTottenham conceded1.80Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.20goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
10.60
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.50
Match total
20.60
Shots
19.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.30
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.0%74.7%+1.8 pp
Draw16.3%14.1%-2.1 pp
Away10.8%11.1%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS57.6%
Historical average
2.42–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.2%
1-011.1%
2-010.1%
1-16.1%
3-15.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.92–3.15
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%60.9%–91.1% CI
Draw FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI
Away FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.96
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.0%
Away44.0%