Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 14:00
11.7155.1%
X4.0223.4%
24.3821.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WLDDWDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Aston Villa
LWWWWLDWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
4.30
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.60
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.50goals per match
Man United conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.30
9.50
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.60
Match total
23.60

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.20
On target
5.10
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches469
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%59.3%+4.2 pp
Draw23.4%23.2%-0.2 pp
Away21.5%17.5%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.971.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
2-010.7%
1-010.2%
2-110.0%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.044.05
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=469.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches117
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.1%43.2%–61.0% CI
Draw FT31.6%23.9%–40.5% CI
Away FT16.2%10.6%–24.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals56.4%
3+ goals24.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.6%
Away41.0%