Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 14:00
12.4937.8%
X3.2429.1%
22.8533.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WDLLLDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Leeds
LLLDDDLDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
8.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.10
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Leeds conceded1.90
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
8.60
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
19.50
Match total
20.90

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.30
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches890
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%34.5%-3.4 pp
Draw29.1%30.7%+1.6 pp
Away33.1%34.8%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.231.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
0-110.4%
1-09.7%
0-08.9%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.55
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=889.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches304
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.3%22.6%–32.6% CI
Draw FT41.4%36.0%–47.1% CI
Away FT31.3%26.3%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.0%
Away51.0%