Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 14:00
12.4937.8%
X3.2429.1%
22.8533.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
WDLLLDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Leeds
LLLDDDLDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
8.60
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.10
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.80goals per matchLeeds conceded1.90Matchup
Leeds attack
1.20goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
8.60
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
19.50
Match total
20.90
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.30
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches890
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%34.5%-3.4 pp
Draw29.1%30.7%+1.6 pp
Away33.1%34.8%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.23–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
0-110.4%
1-09.7%
0-08.9%
1-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.55
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=889.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches304
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.3%22.6%–32.6% CI
Draw FT41.4%36.0%–47.1% CI
Away FT31.3%26.3%–36.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.0%
Away51.0%