Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 20:00
14.4321.3%
X4.1522.8%
21.6955.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
WWLLLDLWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Man City
LLWWWDLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.00
Against
4.10
9.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.50goals per match
Man City conceded1.30
Matchup

Man City attack

1.60goals per match
West Ham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.10
9.90
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.90
Match total
20.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.3%22.1%+0.8 pp
Draw22.8%17.6%-5.2 pp
Away55.9%60.3%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS63.4%

Historical average

1.151.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.6%
0-111.5%
1-19.9%
2-17.6%
1-36.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.445.40
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Draw FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Away FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals58.6%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.1%
Away69.0%