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Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 17:30

Chelsea

vs

Newcastle

11.7952.7%
X4.1222.9%
23.8624.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LWDWLDWWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Newcastle
LLWLLWDLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
7.10N=10
4.00
Against
4.70
10.90
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.70
10.90
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
23.10
Match total
18.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%52.1%-0.6 pp
Draw22.9%21.1%-1.8 pp
Away24.4%26.8%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

1.97–1.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.3%
2-011.3%
1-19.9%
2-17.0%
1-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.00–4.11
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.4%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away61.1%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamChelseaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamNewcastleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareChelsea vs NewcastleCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.