Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 17:30
11.3768.7%
X4.5620.6%
28.8310.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWWWDLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Everton
DWWLDWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.10
Against
5.70
8.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
3.00
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.20goals per match
Everton conceded0.70
Matchup

Everton attack

1.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.70
8.30
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.10
Match total
23.10

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%73.7%+5.0 pp
Draw20.6%16.8%-3.8 pp
Away10.7%9.5%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS33.7%

Historical average

1.870.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-023.2%
1-016.8%
2-111.6%
3-09.5%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.483.11
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%47.9%–78.5% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT5.9%1.6%–19.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.4%
Away32.4%