Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
13.2628.9%
X3.2728.8%
22.2342.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
DDWWDDWWLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brighton
LDWLLDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.70
Against
5.30
8.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.40goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.10goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.30
8.10
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
20.80
Match total
21.70

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.50
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches837
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.9%27.8%-1.1 pp
Draw28.8%26.4%-2.4 pp
Away42.3%45.8%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.051.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-112.4%
1-010.2%
1-210.0%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.06
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=837.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches266
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.3%21.4%–31.9% CI
Draw FT37.2%31.6%–43.2% CI
Away FT36.5%30.9%–42.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away54.9%