Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
14.0223.5%
X3.8324.6%
21.8251.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
LLLLDLDDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Bournemouth
LLLDLDDWWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.50
2.10
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
2.00
1.20
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.10
Against
7.30
8.70
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
2.10
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.00goals per matchBournemouth conceded2.20Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.50goals per matchBurnley conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.30
8.70
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
17.80
Match total
22.40
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
3.10
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches250
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.5%22.4%-1.1 pp
Draw24.6%21.2%-3.4 pp
Away51.9%56.4%+4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS62.4%
Historical average
1.18–1.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-214.0%
1-110.8%
0-28.4%
0-17.2%
2-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.26–5.48
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=250.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.3%8.8%–25.3% CI
Draw FT36.1%26.0%–47.6% CI
Away FT48.6%37.4%–59.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.7%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals23.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away72.2%