Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
14.0223.5%
X3.8324.6%
21.8251.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LLLLDLDDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Bournemouth
LLLDLDDWWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
2.10
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
2.00
1.20
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.10
Against
7.30
8.70
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
2.10
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.00goals per match
Bournemouth conceded2.20
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.50goals per match
Burnley conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
7.30
8.70
Match total
13.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
4.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
17.80
Match total
22.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
3.10
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches250
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.5%22.4%-1.1 pp
Draw24.6%21.2%-3.4 pp
Away51.9%56.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS62.4%

Historical average

1.181.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.0%
1-110.8%
0-28.4%
0-17.2%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.265.48
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=250.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.3%8.8%–25.3% CI
Draw FT36.1%26.0%–47.6% CI
Away FT48.6%37.4%–59.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.7%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals23.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away72.2%