Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-04 · 19:30
11.3768.7%
X4.9519.0%
27.6512.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWWDDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LWWLLLWWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.50
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.10goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
100%10/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.60
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.20
Match total
24.00

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
6.20
On target
4.10
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%71.4%+2.7 pp
Draw19.0%22.6%+3.6 pp
Away12.3%6.0%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

2.280.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.6%
2-110.1%
2-09.5%
1-18.5%
3-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.263.35
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.2%45.2%–71.8% CI
Draw FT36.7%24.7%–50.7% CI
Away FT4.1%1.1%–13.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away20.4%