Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-04 · 19:30
12.6735.3%
X3.5726.4%
22.4638.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWWWWWLLWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Chelsea
WWLDDDLWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.20
Against
4.40
10.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.20
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
Aston Villa conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.40
10.40
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.40
Match total
23.30

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches393
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%35.6%+0.3 pp
Draw26.4%29.3%+2.9 pp
Away38.3%35.1%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS60.8%

Historical average

1.421.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
2-19.2%
2-07.4%
1-27.1%
0-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.255.10
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=393.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%30.6%–49.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%28.8%–47.1% CI
Away FT23.1%16.0%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.6%
Away51.0%