Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
19.4510.1%
X5.8316.3%
21.2973.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
LLLLLLDLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Arsenal
WWDWWDDDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
2.00
2.40
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
2.60N=10
For
6.40N=10
6.90
Against
2.40
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
2.00
2.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
0.50goals per matchArsenal conceded0.70Matchup
Arsenal attack
2.00goals per matchSouthampton conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
6.90
Corners against
2.40
9.50
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.30
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.50
Match total
22.70
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
2.60
On target
4.80
6%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.1%8.2%-1.8 pp
Draw16.3%12.3%-4.0 pp
Away73.6%79.5%+5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.545.2%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
0.85–2.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-312.3%
0-212.3%
1-29.6%
1-39.6%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
3.32–7.19
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home29.4%
Away76.5%