Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
13.0930.9%
X3.7225.7%
22.2043.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WDWWDWWLLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Chelsea
DLDLLLLDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.90
Against
3.40
9.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.60goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.50
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.50goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.90
Corners against
3.40
9.50
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.10
Match total
23.00

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches294
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%33.0%+2.1 pp
Draw25.7%26.2%+0.5 pp
Away43.4%40.8%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.301.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.5%
2-19.2%
0-08.2%
1-07.5%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.20
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=294.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.4%19.7%–39.0% CI
Draw FT42.0%31.8%–52.8% CI
Away FT29.6%20.8%–40.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.0%
Away50.6%