Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
13.0930.9%
X3.7225.7%
22.2043.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
WDWWDWWLLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Chelsea
DLDLLLLDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
2.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.90
Against
3.40
9.50
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.60goals per matchChelsea conceded1.50Matchup
Chelsea attack
0.50goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.90
Corners against
3.40
9.50
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.10
Match total
23.00
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches294
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%33.0%+2.1 pp
Draw25.7%26.2%+0.5 pp
Away43.4%40.8%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.30–1.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.5%
2-19.2%
0-08.2%
1-07.5%
1-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.65–5.20
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=294.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.4%19.7%–39.0% CI
Draw FT42.0%31.8%–52.8% CI
Away FT29.6%20.8%–40.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.0%
Away50.6%