Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
11.3272.1%
X5.6017.0%
28.7710.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWLLWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Everton
DLWWDDLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
0.80
90%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
6.60
10.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
3.90
Total goals
1.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.80goals per match
Everton conceded0.80
Matchup

Everton attack

1.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.60
10.80
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
22.60
Match total
20.60

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.50
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.1%70.7%-1.4 pp
Draw17.0%19.8%+2.8 pp
Away10.9%9.5%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.410.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.0%
2-111.7%
2-010.4%
1-18.1%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.163.35
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.4%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.4%43.3%–70.5% CI
Draw FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT6.4%2.2%–17.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.0%
2+ goals66.0%
3+ goals34.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.7%
Away44.7%