Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
14.3721.9%
X4.1623.0%
21.7355.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
LLWLLWDDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Aston Villa
LWDLLWWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.50
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Man United attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Man United conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.10
Match total
24.90

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
5%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches186
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.9%18.8%-3.0 pp
Draw23.0%22.0%-0.9 pp
Away55.2%59.1%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.132.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.5%
0-19.7%
1-19.1%
0-27.5%
2-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.275.37
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=186.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.9%9.5%–34.2% CI
Draw FT24.3%13.4%–40.1% CI
Away FT56.8%40.9%–71.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away73.0%