Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
11.4068.0%
X5.6516.8%
26.2715.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WDWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Crystal Palace
DWWWWDLLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.50
Match total
20.80

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.40
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.0%75.0%+7.0 pp
Draw16.8%16.7%-0.2 pp
Away15.2%8.3%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.583.3%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.920.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-116.7%
3-28.3%
1-18.3%
4-18.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.923.00
Average total8.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.541.7%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away25.0%