Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
11.4068.0%
X5.6516.8%
26.2715.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Liverpool
WDWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Crystal Palace
DWWWWDLLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.60goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.30Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.50goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.50
Match total
20.80
Shots
17.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.40
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.0%75.0%+7.0 pp
Draw16.8%16.7%-0.2 pp
Away15.2%8.3%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.583.3%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
2.92–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-116.7%
3-28.3%
1-18.3%
4-18.3%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–3.00
Average total8.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.541.7%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.3%
Away25.0%