Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 16:00
15.1518.5%
X4.2822.3%
21.6159.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
DDDLWLWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Man City
LWDWLWLDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.30
Against
4.10
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.30goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Matchup

Man City attack

1.50goals per match
Fulham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.10
9.80
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.70
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
7.60N=10
21.20
Match total
16.50

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.50
On target
5.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.5%17.5%-1.0 pp
Draw22.3%28.7%+6.5 pp
Away59.2%53.8%-5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.536.3%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.001.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
0-111.3%
1-310.0%
2-18.8%
0-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.716.36
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.1%
Away63.2%