Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-20 · 20:00
11.5561.5%
X4.5121.1%
25.4917.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
DWWWLDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bournemouth
WDDWWLDDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.50
Against
4.90
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.30
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

2.10goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.90
9.00
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

7.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
18.30
Match total
25.80

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.50
On target
5.70
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches165
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%60.0%-1.5 pp
Draw21.1%15.8%-5.4 pp
Away17.4%24.2%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.131.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.3%
2-08.5%
4-07.3%
3-07.3%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.304.15
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=165.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.3%36.2%–66.1% CI
Draw FT30.8%18.6%–46.4% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals48.7%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.0%