Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-19 · 20:00
12.6336.3%
X3.8225.0%
22.4638.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DDLWWWLDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Liverpool
WDWWDDWLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
7.20N=10
4.50
Against
3.10
8.30
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.00goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.10
8.30
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.80
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.70
Match total
19.20

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
18.50N=10
4.70
On target
6.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%39.5%+3.3 pp
Draw25.0%25.6%+0.6 pp
Away38.8%34.9%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.546.5%
BTTS72.1%

Historical average

1.811.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
2-111.6%
2-29.3%
2-37.0%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.285.30
Average total10.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.546.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals90.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away80.0%