Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 16:30
12.0147.5%
X3.5926.6%
23.7025.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWDWLWWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Newcastle
WWWWLLWWLD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.10
1.50
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.00
Against
5.00
9.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.30
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.00
9.00
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.40
Match total
2.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
20.00
Match total
20.40

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches590
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%46.4%-1.1 pp
Draw26.6%28.5%+1.9 pp
Away25.8%25.1%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.691.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
2-19.3%
1-08.3%
2-28.0%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.29
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=590.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%27.2%–42.5% CI
Draw FT44.8%37.0%–53.0% CI
Away FT20.7%14.9%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals19.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away42.1%