Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 12:00
11.4068.1%
X4.7919.9%
27.9312.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
LLWWDDDDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DLLLWLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.60
Against
4.50
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
3.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.50goals per matchSouthampton conceded2.20Matchup
Southampton attack
0.90goals per matchEverton conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.50
10.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.80
Match total
24.60
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches220
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.1%71.4%+3.3 pp
Draw19.9%16.4%-3.5 pp
Away12.0%12.3%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS43.2%
Historical average
2.07–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.0%
1-014.1%
2-111.8%
3-011.8%
2-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.64–3.15
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=220.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.4%47.1%–70.5% CI
Draw FT23.4%14.7%–35.1% CI
Away FT17.2%9.9%–28.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.6%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals21.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.1%
Away39.1%