Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-16 · 20:15
11.4665.7%
X4.9019.6%
26.5114.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LDWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Man United
LDWLDWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.50
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.00goals per match
Man United conceded1.70
Matchup

Man United attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
22.40
Match total
19.20

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
7.30
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%61.9%-3.8 pp
Draw19.6%25.0%+5.4 pp
Away14.7%13.1%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.545.0%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.310.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-19.4%
1-18.8%
0-07.5%
2-07.5%
3-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.76
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Draw FT48.4%32.0%–65.2% CI
Away FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.3%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.4%
Away38.7%