Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-16 · 19:30
11.3272.6%
X5.9516.1%
28.4511.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aston Villa
WDWDDDWWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Tottenham
LLLWWLLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.90
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.90goals per matchTottenham conceded2.00Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.30goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
10.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
22.30
Match total
25.30
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.6%72.5%-0.1 pp
Draw16.1%11.6%-4.5 pp
Away11.3%15.9%+4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.547.8%
BTTS55.1%
Historical average
2.54–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.0%
1-011.6%
4-08.7%
3-05.8%
2-05.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.94–3.84
Average total10.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.555.1%
Over 11.546.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away45.5%