Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 16:30
12.0646.3%
X3.5427.0%
23.5726.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
DWDWWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Arsenal
DWWDWWDDDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.60
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
6.90N=10
3.70
Against
2.10
10.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
3.60
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.60
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.10
10.80
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.90
Match total
22.30

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%42.6%-3.8 pp
Draw27.0%29.8%+2.8 pp
Away26.7%27.7%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.591.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-19.6%
0-07.8%
1-07.4%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.804.32
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.9%23.4%–44.1% CI
Draw FT43.4%32.9%–54.6% CI
Away FT23.7%15.5%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away46.1%