Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 14:15
11.3371.4%
X5.3417.8%
28.8310.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WWDWWDWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Leicester
LLLWLLLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.80
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.60goals per match
Leicester conceded2.40
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.60goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
20.70
Match total
21.40

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
4.40
On target
2.10
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.4%76.7%+5.2 pp
Draw17.8%14.8%-3.0 pp
Away10.8%8.6%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

2.250.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
2-111.4%
2-011.0%
4-17.6%
3-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.353.23
Average total10.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.4%48.4%–72.9% CI
Draw FT29.8%19.5%–42.7% CI
Away FT8.8%3.8%–18.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals8.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away21.1%