Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 14:15
11.9249.6%
X3.7225.6%
23.8324.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
LLLWLLWDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
West Ham
DWLDLWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.00goals per match
West Ham conceded1.50
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.00goals per match
Man United conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.80
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches556
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%50.2%+0.6 pp
Draw25.6%25.9%+0.3 pp
Away24.8%23.9%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

1.681.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-110.1%
1-09.4%
2-08.1%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.35
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.8%30.6%–45.6% CI
Draw FT41.0%33.6%–48.9% CI
Away FT21.2%15.5%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.3%
Away45.5%