Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 17:30
12.4538.9%
X3.6825.9%
22.7135.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DDWWLLLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Aston Villa
LLWDLLWWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.50
Against
6.10
11.60
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.10goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.50
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Bournemouth conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.10
11.60
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
23.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.30
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%40.3%+1.4 pp
Draw25.9%22.1%-3.8 pp
Away35.2%37.6%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.581.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.7%
1-210.7%
0-18.1%
2-07.4%
3-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.095.15
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.536.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Away FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away46.4%