Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 15:00
113.377.1%
X7.5812.6%
21.1980.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLLLLLLDLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Man City
DLWDWLWLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.70
2.90
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.90
Against
4.60
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.70
2.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.50goals per match
Man City conceded1.20
Matchup

Man City attack

1.70goals per match
Southampton conceded2.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.60
8.60
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.50
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
21.10
Match total
16.20

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
2.90
On target
5.60
5%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.1%12.8%+5.7 pp
Draw12.6%5.1%-7.5 pp
Away80.3%82.1%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

0.692.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.9%
0-310.3%
0-410.3%
0-210.3%
1-45.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.137.90
Average total11.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.5%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.556.4%
Over 11.553.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away81.8%