Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-05 · 20:00
12.2941.6%
X3.3828.2%
23.1530.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
DLWDLLWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nott'm Forest
WWWWLLLWLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
2.10
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.30
Against
5.90
10.10
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.50goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded1.80Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
2.10goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.90
10.10
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.10
Match total
21.50
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.90
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%41.7%+0.2 pp
Draw28.2%29.2%+1.0 pp
Away30.2%29.1%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.42–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
1-011.0%
2-19.2%
0-08.6%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–4.56
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,169.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches370
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.7%28.1%–37.6% CI
Draw FT41.9%37.0%–47.0% CI
Away FT25.4%21.2%–30.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.0%
Away44.3%