Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 16:30
12.1843.8%
X3.7125.8%
23.1430.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WLDWWWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Liverpool
WWDWWDDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.50
0.90
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.00
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
7.10N=10
3.40
Against
3.50
10.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.90goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.50
10.60
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.90
Match total
2.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.10
Match total
18.70

Shots

19.90N=10
Shots
19.80N=10
7.40
On target
7.40
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%38.8%-5.1 pp
Draw25.8%21.9%-3.9 pp
Away30.4%39.4%+8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

1.531.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.1%
0-08.1%
2-17.5%
1-07.5%
1-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.74
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.564.4%
Over 10.549.4%
Over 11.536.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%27.0%–54.5% CI
Draw FT35.6%23.2%–50.2% CI
Away FT24.4%14.2%–38.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals24.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away35.6%