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Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00

Brighton

vs

Newcastle

12.8633.4%
X3.7725.3%
22.3141.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LDDLWWWLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Newcastle
LWWWWLLWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.40
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.40goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.80goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.00
Match total
2.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.80
Match total
19.60

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.00
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%31.4%-2.0 pp
Draw25.3%31.4%+6.0 pp
Away41.3%37.3%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS68.6%

Historical average

1.47–1.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.6%
1-213.6%
2-25.9%
2-15.9%
2-35.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.01–4.86
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.9%11.0%–38.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%28.2%–60.7% CI
Away FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals65.6%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away68.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamBrightonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamNewcastleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareBrighton vs NewcastleCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.