Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
12.3341.0%
X3.6226.4%
22.9332.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
DLLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Southampton
LDLLLWLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.20
Scored
0.90
2.40
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
10%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.70
Against
5.20
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.20
Goals scored
0.90
2.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.20goals per match
Southampton conceded2.10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
Leicester conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.20
9.80
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.60
Match total
3.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
18.20
Match total
25.40

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.00
On target
3.10
2%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches535
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%38.3%-2.7 pp
Draw26.4%28.8%+2.4 pp
Away32.6%32.9%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.491.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-210.1%
1-09.3%
2-18.2%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.76
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=533.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches134
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.8%28.2%–44.2% CI
Draw FT34.3%26.8%–42.7% CI
Away FT29.9%22.8%–38.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals18.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.7%
Away49.3%