Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
11.4764.9%
X4.4021.7%
27.0713.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
DLLWWDDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Ipswich
WLDLDLLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.80
Against
8.40
10.10
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.30goals per matchIpswich conceded1.90Matchup
Ipswich attack
1.20goals per matchEverton conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
8.40
10.10
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.30
Match total
20.90
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%66.7%+1.8 pp
Draw21.7%21.3%-0.4 pp
Away13.5%12.1%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS46.1%
Historical average
1.88–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-018.4%
1-112.1%
2-010.6%
2-19.2%
3-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–3.38
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.5%44.5%–73.0% CI
Draw FT28.6%17.2%–43.6% CI
Away FT11.9%5.2%–25.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away35.7%