Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
11.4764.9%
X4.4021.7%
27.0713.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
DLLWWDDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Ipswich
WLDLDLLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.80
Against
8.40
10.10
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.30goals per match
Ipswich conceded1.90
Matchup

Ipswich attack

1.20goals per match
Everton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
8.40
10.10
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.30
Match total
20.90

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%66.7%+1.8 pp
Draw21.7%21.3%-0.4 pp
Away13.5%12.1%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.880.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.4%
1-112.1%
2-010.6%
2-19.2%
3-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.38
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.5%44.5%–73.0% CI
Draw FT28.6%17.2%–43.6% CI
Away FT11.9%5.2%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away35.7%