Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
11.7953.3%
X3.8824.6%
24.3222.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aston Villa
WWDWDDDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Fulham
DWLWWWLLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.60
Against
3.80
11.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.90goals per matchFulham conceded1.40Matchup
Fulham attack
1.60goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.80
11.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.30
Match total
20.70
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
5.70
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches405
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%60.7%+7.4 pp
Draw24.6%20.7%-3.9 pp
Away22.1%18.5%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
1.92–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.1%
2-111.1%
2-010.9%
1-010.1%
1-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.01–4.11
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=405.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.0%43.3%–62.5% CI
Draw FT28.0%20.1%–37.5% CI
Away FT19.0%12.5%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.81
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals57.0%
3+ goals28.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.0%
Away46.0%