Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 12:30
11.7953.3%
X3.8824.6%
24.3222.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWDWDDDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Fulham
DWLWWWLLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.60
Against
3.80
11.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.90goals per match
Fulham conceded1.40
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.60goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.80
11.30
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.30
Match total
20.70

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
5.70
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches405
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%60.7%+7.4 pp
Draw24.6%20.7%-3.9 pp
Away22.1%18.5%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.920.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
2-111.1%
2-010.9%
1-010.1%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.014.11
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=405.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.0%43.3%–62.5% CI
Draw FT28.0%20.1%–37.5% CI
Away FT19.0%12.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals57.0%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.0%
Away46.0%