Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-02 · 20:00
11.4068.5%
X5.1418.7%
27.4912.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
LDWWWLDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Wolves
LWDLLLWWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.20
Against
5.70
9.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Wolves conceded1.40
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.40goals per match
Man City conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.70
9.10
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

7.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
18.40
Match total
26.00

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.60
On target
4.40
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches145
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.5%73.1%+4.6 pp
Draw18.7%22.1%+3.4 pp
Away12.8%4.8%-8.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

2.450.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.7%
1-011.0%
2-110.3%
3-08.3%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.41
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=145.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%36.7%–68.5% CI
Draw FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away23.5%