Premier League · 2024/25
2025-05-01 · 19:30
12.1744.0%
X3.5526.9%
23.2729.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WWWDWWDWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brentford
LLDWWWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.80
0.50
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
7.00
Against
6.40
10.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.80
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.70goals per match
Brentford conceded1.00
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.80goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
7.00
Corners against
6.40
10.00
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.60
Match total
19.80

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches685
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%43.9%-0.0 pp
Draw26.9%28.5%+1.6 pp
Away29.2%27.6%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.531.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-110.1%
1-09.8%
2-07.6%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.32
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=685.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%30.5%–44.0% CI
Draw FT39.1%32.4%–46.1% CI
Away FT24.0%18.5%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.7%
Away45.8%