Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 14:00
11.6757.0%
X4.1323.0%
24.7720.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
WDDWWLLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man United
LWLDWLDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.40
Against
6.70
11.50
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.10goals per matchMan United conceded1.50Matchup
Man United attack
1.10goals per matchBournemouth conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.70
11.50
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.50
Match total
19.00
Shots
17.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.00
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches342
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%61.1%+4.1 pp
Draw23.0%20.8%-2.3 pp
Away20.0%18.1%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS57.3%
Historical average
2.03–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.1%
1-010.2%
2-010.2%
1-17.6%
1-27.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.04–3.98
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=342.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.0%40.9%–62.9% CI
Draw FT29.3%20.2%–40.4% CI
Away FT18.7%11.5%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.0%
Away33.3%