Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:00
15.1718.5%
X4.1123.3%
21.6458.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
LLLLLLLLDL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Fulham
DDWLWWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.50
3.20
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.50
3.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
0.50goals per matchFulham conceded1.40Matchup
Fulham attack
1.50goals per matchSouthampton conceded3.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
21.00
Match total
20.30
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
3.00
On target
4.30
5%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.5%14.6%-3.9 pp
Draw23.3%27.0%+3.7 pp
Away58.3%58.4%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
0.87–1.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.9%
1-113.5%
0-212.4%
1-36.7%
2-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.91–5.81
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI
Draw FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home29.6%
Away74.1%