Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:00
15.1718.5%
X4.1123.3%
21.6458.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLLLLLLLDL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Fulham
DDWLWWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.50
3.20
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.50
3.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.50goals per match
Fulham conceded1.40
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded3.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
21.00
Match total
20.30

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
3.00
On target
4.30
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.5%14.6%-3.9 pp
Draw23.3%27.0%+3.7 pp
Away58.3%58.4%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

0.871.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.9%
1-113.5%
0-212.4%
1-36.7%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.915.81
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI
Draw FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.6%
Away74.1%