Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:00
11.1881.2%
X7.7212.4%
214.896.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DWWWLLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Ipswich
LWLDLDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.70
100%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
2.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Against
8.10
10.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
4.40
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

3.00goals per match
Ipswich conceded1.70
Matchup

Ipswich attack

1.20goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
8.10
10.30
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.50
Match total
21.20

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
6.10
On target
3.40
18%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.2%76.7%-4.5 pp
Draw12.4%16.7%+4.3 pp
Away6.4%6.7%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.630.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.0%
1-011.7%
3-18.3%
2-28.3%
4-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.222.77
Average total10.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.563.3%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away25.0%