Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 12:30
11.5860.4%
X4.0823.4%
25.9116.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWLDWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Everton
LDDLWWDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.60
Against
6.10
10.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.10goals per match
Everton conceded1.00
Matchup

Everton attack

0.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.10
10.10
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.60
Match total
19.90

Shots

20.60N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
7.50
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches448
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.4%59.6%-0.8 pp
Draw23.4%24.8%+1.4 pp
Away16.2%15.6%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.890.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.3%
1-112.3%
1-010.3%
2-19.6%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.363.64
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=448.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches125
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.8%36.4%–53.5% CI
Draw FT35.2%27.4%–43.9% CI
Away FT20.0%13.9%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.4%
Away48.0%