Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 20:00
11.4167.8%
X4.6620.5%
28.1311.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
WDWWDWLWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Crystal Palace
WWDWWWWDLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.30
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
8.70
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.60goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.20Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.50goals per matchArsenal conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
20.20
Match total
22.90
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.60
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.8%72.3%+4.6 pp
Draw20.5%17.6%-2.9 pp
Away11.8%10.1%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS42.8%
Historical average
2.07–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.4%
2-014.5%
3-011.3%
2-110.7%
1-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.48–3.42
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.4%51.8%–76.8% CI
Draw FT21.2%12.2%–34.0% CI
Away FT13.5%6.7%–25.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.4%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals19.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.8%
Away32.7%