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Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-22 · 20:00

Man City

vs

Aston Villa

11.8551.9%
X4.0623.7%
23.9324.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WLDWWWLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Aston Villa
LLLWDLLWWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.30
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.20
Against
5.40
8.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.50goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.60
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.40
8.90
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

7.00N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
18.70
Match total
24.40

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.70
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%51.9%+0.0 pp
Draw23.7%17.3%-6.3 pp
Away24.4%30.8%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.2%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.555.8%
BTTS69.2%

Historical average

2.12–1.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.4%
1-39.6%
1-17.7%
1-25.8%
2-35.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.98–4.23
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals76.2%
3+ goals38.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away61.9%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMan CityForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAston VillaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMan City vs Aston VillaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.