Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 16:30
111.768.1%
X6.6314.4%
21.2377.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WDLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Liverpool
DWWDWWDDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
2.70
2.40
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.10
1.60
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
9.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
2.70
2.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
4.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.40
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.70goals per match
Leicester conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
1.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
9.60
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
18.00
Match total
19.50

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
18.60N=10
3.60
On target
6.90
5%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.1%4.7%-3.5 pp
Draw14.4%11.6%-2.8 pp
Away77.5%83.7%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.3%
Over 2.576.7%
Over 3.551.2%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

0.702.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-314.0%
1-314.0%
0-211.6%
1-211.6%
1-411.6%

Comparable corner averages

2.817.86
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.551.2%
Over 11.548.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%