Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 14:00
17.8312.2%
X4.8119.8%
21.4068.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ipswich
LLLWLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Arsenal
WDWWDWWDDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.00
2.70
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
6.70N=10
6.10
Against
2.30
9.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
2.70
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ipswich attack

0.80goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
Ipswich conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
2.30
9.70
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.2%10.6%-1.6 pp
Draw19.8%18.5%-1.3 pp
Away68.0%70.9%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

0.752.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.2%
0-112.6%
0-211.9%
1-19.9%
0-37.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.216.60
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.0%8.9%–30.1% CI
Draw FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Away FT59.6%45.3%–72.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals57.4%
3+ goals36.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away74.5%