Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 14:00
12.8233.8%
X3.5227.1%
22.4339.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
WDDDDLWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Chelsea
WWDLDLLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.60
Against
3.60
9.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.60
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Fulham conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.60
9.50
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
20.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.20
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%31.1%-2.7 pp
Draw27.1%27.7%+0.6 pp
Away39.2%41.3%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

1.211.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-09.5%
0-08.0%
1-27.6%
0-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.915.12
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.5%22.0%–42.9% CI
Draw FT38.4%28.1%–49.8% CI
Away FT30.1%20.8%–41.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals6.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away42.5%