Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:00
11.4964.0%
X4.4921.2%
26.4414.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Ham
LWDLWLLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DLDLLLWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Ham attack
1.20goals per matchSouthampton conceded2.10Matchup
Southampton attack
0.90goals per matchWest Ham conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.20
Match total
26.30
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
2.60
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%64.4%+0.5 pp
Draw21.2%19.2%-2.0 pp
Away14.8%16.3%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
2.11–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.1%
1-011.1%
2-010.6%
2-18.7%
3-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.45–3.70
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.533.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%36.9%–63.1% CI
Draw FT34.6%23.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT15.4%8.0%–27.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.2%
Away40.4%