Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:00
11.4964.0%
X4.4921.2%
26.4414.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LWDLWLLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DLDLLLWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.20goals per match
Southampton conceded2.10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
West Ham conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.20
Match total
26.30

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
2.60
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%64.4%+0.5 pp
Draw21.2%19.2%-2.0 pp
Away14.8%16.3%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

2.110.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
1-011.1%
2-010.6%
2-18.7%
3-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.70
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%36.9%–63.1% CI
Draw FT34.6%23.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT15.4%8.0%–27.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.2%
Away40.4%