Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:00
13.8025.1%
X3.6526.2%
21.9648.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WDLLWWDDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Man City
LDLWDWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
10.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.70goals per match
Man City conceded1.40
Matchup

Man City attack

1.50goals per match
Everton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
10.10
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
24.80
Match total
16.60

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.40
On target
5.10
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches407
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%21.1%-4.0 pp
Draw26.2%29.5%+3.3 pp
Away48.7%49.4%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.021.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-210.8%
0-110.6%
0-09.6%
0-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.45
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=407.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.3%10.1%–22.4% CI
Draw FT45.0%36.8%–53.6% CI
Away FT39.7%31.7%–48.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.5%
Away58.0%