Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:00
13.8025.1%
X3.6526.2%
21.9648.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
WDLLWWDDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Man City
LDLWDWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
10.10
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.70goals per matchMan City conceded1.40Matchup
Man City attack
1.50goals per matchEverton conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
10.10
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
24.80
Match total
16.60
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.40
On target
5.10
17%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches407
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%21.1%-4.0 pp
Draw26.2%29.5%+3.3 pp
Away48.7%49.4%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.02–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-210.8%
0-110.6%
0-09.6%
0-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.69–5.45
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=407.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.3%10.1%–22.4% CI
Draw FT45.0%36.8%–53.6% CI
Away FT39.7%31.7%–48.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals19.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.5%
Away58.0%