Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:00
12.5437.6%
X3.5427.0%
22.6935.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
DDLWDLLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Bournemouth
WWWDDWWLDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
2.50
1.60
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
100%
90%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.80
Against
5.10
10.90
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.60goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.50Matchup
Bournemouth attack
2.50goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.10
10.90
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.10
Match total
25.80
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.30
On target
6.50
10%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches486
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%37.4%-0.1 pp
Draw27.0%29.6%+2.7 pp
Away35.5%32.9%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS60.7%
Historical average
1.40–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
2-110.7%
1-09.9%
1-28.4%
2-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.85
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=486.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.7%31.6%–48.4% CI
Draw FT36.5%28.6%–45.2% CI
Away FT23.8%17.2%–32.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.5%
Away52.4%