Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:00
12.5437.6%
X3.5427.0%
22.6935.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
DDLWDLLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Bournemouth
WWWDDWWLDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.50
1.60
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
100%
90%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.80
Against
5.10
10.90
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.60goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.50
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

2.50goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.10
10.90
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.10
Match total
25.80

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.30
On target
6.50
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches486
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%37.4%-0.1 pp
Draw27.0%29.6%+2.7 pp
Away35.5%32.9%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

1.401.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
2-110.7%
1-09.9%
1-28.4%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.85
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=486.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.7%31.6%–48.4% CI
Draw FT36.5%28.6%–45.2% CI
Away FT23.8%17.2%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away52.4%